輕堿主流含稅出廠價格：遼寧地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)現階段本地(di)(di)貿易出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)貨含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)在1750-1800元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右，終端到(dao)貨1850-1900元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右；河(he)北地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1650-1750元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；山東地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1650-1700元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；江(jiang)蘇(su)地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)主流含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1450-1500元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，部分(fen)高價(jia)以1550-1700元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；杭州地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1600-1650元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；福建(jian)地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1530-1570元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右；廣(guang)東地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1750-1800元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；華中地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1400-1600元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；青(qing)海地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1380-1450元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；川渝區(qu)(qu)域含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1650-1700元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)；云貴地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1650-1700元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右；江(jiang)西區(qu)(qu)域含(han)稅(shui)(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)價(jia)1650-1700元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)。

    重堿主流含稅送到價格：目前華北地區重堿含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)送(song)到(dao)1800-1850元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)左右(you)，沙(sha)河區域(yu)(yu)含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)送(song)達1800元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（現(xian)匯價格(ge)）；青海區域(yu)(yu)含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)出(chu)廠價1400-1450元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)；西南區域(yu)(yu)含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)送(song)到(dao)1750-1850元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)；東(dong)北區域(yu)(yu)重堿主(zhu)流含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)送(song)到(dao)1850-2000元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)；廣東(dong)重堿含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)送(song)到(dao)價格(ge)1850-1900元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)；華東(dong)片區主(zhu)流含(han)(han)(han)稅(shui)送(song)到(dao)1750-1850元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)。

后市預測

    供(gong)應(ying)(ying)方面(mian)：本周(zhou)四川廣宇檢修縮(suo)減(jian)(jian)(jian)西南小幅供(gong)量，下周(zhou)天津渤(bo)化裝置(zhi)因故停機減(jian)(jian)(jian)產一周(zhou)也將對華北區純(chun)堿供(gong)應(ying)(ying)形成減(jian)(jian)(jian)量影響，整體行業(ye)內純(chun)堿裝置(zhi)檢修影響量較(jiao)少，加(jia)上企庫寬松(song)供(gong)應(ying)(ying)，供(gong)應(ying)(ying)端(duan)表(biao)現(xian)較(jiao)佳(jia)，且穩定性(xing)較(jiao)足(zu)。

    心態方面：純(chun)堿企業(ye)就持續降(jiang)價(jia)后盈利空(kong)間不斷縮減(jian)，后期企業(ye)考慮成本影響，降(jiang)價(jia)空(kong)間明顯縮小；下游終端與經銷(xiao)商方面對于價(jia)格仍持看跌想法，對于儲量及(ji)增(zeng)采欲望欠佳(jia)，進一步促成市場(chang)交投緩(huan)和走勢。

    需求(qiu)方(fang)面：長期(qi)來看(kan)，純(chun)(chun)堿跌價(jia)空間走弱(ruo)，將有(you)望調動下游及(ji)經銷商積(ji)極(ji)采(cai)(cai)購情(qing)緒。雖生產(chan)供(gong)應端預期(qi)無較大壓力，但隨著環保安全政策深入影響(xiang)，原鹽、煤(mei)炭、石灰(hui)石、合成(cheng)氨等增(zeng)價(jia)風險(xian)加強，另(ling)外目前(qian)下游端純(chun)(chun)堿原料儲量不佳(jia)，后(hou)期(qi)一(yi)旦純(chun)(chun)堿供(gong)應及(ji)運(yun)輸出現問題(ti)，或進一(yi)步觸發(fa)增(zeng)采(cai)(cai)積(ji)極(ji)性，市場價(jia)格短(duan)期(qi)看(kan)有(you)持(chi)續下跌，也不排除個別堿企已(yi)瀕臨(lin)成(cheng)本止跌運(yun)行(xing)。