百川資訊：本周（2018.7.6-7.12）中國原鹽市場價格維持上周水平，市場成交重心以穩為主。供應方面，本周江蘇井神井礦鹽裝置輪流檢修中；江西晶昊原鹽裝置仍然停機待開，企業新配套30萬噸純堿裝置計劃7月16號投產，預計原鹽裝置同步復工；湖北中鹽宏博下半年有復產計劃；河北中鹽龍祥鹽化有限公司一期年產60萬噸真空制鹽目前主要供工業用鹽；山東海鹽二茬鹽生產正常，但因環保檢查溴素行業開工率較低，部分地區海鹽產量減少，但目前鹽企業原鹽庫存充足，價格上維持穩定運行。

地區市場價格分析

1. 進口鹽(yan)價格(ge)：印度(du)一級品CIF價格(ge)：30-35美元/噸，部分大單執行價格(ge)略有優惠(hui)；澳(ao)鹽(yan)CIF價格(ge)：38-45美元/噸。
2. 海鹽方面：河北(bei)達(da)(da)(da)標海鹽含稅出廠價(jia)格維持在(zai)180-200元(yuan)/噸，山(shan)東(dong)達(da)(da)(da)標海鹽裸鹽提貨價(jia)格維持在(zai)165-175元(yuan)/噸；東(dong)北(bei)達(da)(da)(da)標海鹽含稅出廠價(jia)格多在(zai)220元(yuan)/噸。
3. 井礦(kuang)鹽(yan)方面：華東散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在265-310元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)，肥(fei)城、泰安地(di)區(qu)散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)含(han)稅(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)185-190元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；河(he)南(nan)散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在230-245元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；湖北地(di)區(qu)散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在250-270元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；湖南(nan)地(di)區(qu)散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在310-320元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；陜甘散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在280-290元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；西南(nan)散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在280-295元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)；西南(nan)云(yun)貴(gui)地(di)區(qu)散濕(shi)(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)(chang)含(han)稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在350-375元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)。
4. 湖鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)方面(mian)：青(qing)海湖鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格在60-80元(yuan)/噸（散(san)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），根據運距、品質，青(qing)海地(di)區湖鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格差別較(jiao)大；內蒙古(gu)地(di)區湖鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格多穩(wen)定在160-170元(yuan)/噸（散(san)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），部分(fen)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)廠(chang)(chang)優(you)勢鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)(shui)出(chu)(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格穩(wen)定在220-230元(yuan)/噸（散(san)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）。
5. 下(xia)游采購價格：

        a、華東(dong)兩堿的(de)(de)采購價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)穩定：江西省內大(da)工(gong)業(ye)用鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)出(chu)廠(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)320-340元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）不等，兩堿用鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)到家(jia)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)集中(zhong)在(zai)(zai)355-370元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；江蘇大(da)工(gong)業(ye)用井(jing)礦(kuang)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)出(chu)廠(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)270-280元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)，濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），小工(gong)業(ye)用鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)的(de)(de)含稅(shui)出(chu)廠(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)320-3250元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（50kg袋裝(zhuang)(zhuang)、干鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；安徽省大(da)工(gong)業(ye)用井(jing)礦(kuang)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)出(chu)廠(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)300-320元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），兩堿用鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)到家(jia)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)集中(zhong)在(zai)(zai)340-355元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），省外江蘇地區井(jing)礦(kuang)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)送到安徽下游的(de)(de)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)335-345元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；浙(zhe)江地區大(da)工(gong)業(ye)用鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)的(de)(de)到家(jia)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)多在(zai)(zai)320-340元(yuan)(yuan)/噸（含稅(shui)、濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)、散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）。

        b、華中(zhong)兩堿(jian)的采(cai)購價(jia)(jia)格(ge)穩(wen)定：河南省大工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)井礦鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)235-255元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)、濕鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），小(xiao)工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)280-290元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（50kg袋(dai)裝(zhuang)(zhuang)、干(gan)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；湖(hu)南大工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)井礦鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)主流出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)320-325元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)、濕鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），小(xiao)工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含稅(shui)出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)350-355元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（50kg袋(dai)裝(zhuang)(zhuang)、干(gan)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；湖(hu)北地區大工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)井礦鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)含稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)260-280元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（散裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，干(gan)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），部分工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)含稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)在290-295元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（噸(dun)袋(dai)裝(zhuang)(zhuang)，干(gan)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），小(xiao)工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)出(chu)(chu)廠(chang)(chang)含稅(shui)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)報300元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)（50kg包裝(zhuang)(zhuang)、干(gan)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；

        c、其(qi)他地(di)區(qu)兩堿的(de)(de)采購價(jia)格(ge)穩定：四川(chuan)省大(da)(da)(da)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)井(jing)礦(kuang)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含(han)稅出廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)280-290元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)、濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)），小工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含(han)稅出廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格(ge)300-310元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（噸(dun)(dun)袋裝，干(gan)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；重慶地(di)區(qu)大(da)(da)(da)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)井(jing)礦(kuang)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)含(han)稅出廠(chang)(chang)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)290-320元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)、濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；福建地(di)區(qu)大(da)(da)(da)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)井(jing)礦(kuang)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)的(de)(de)到(dao)(dao)家(jia)價(jia)格(ge)集(ji)中(zhong)在(zai)460-470元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)、濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）；廣西當地(di)大(da)(da)(da)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)的(de)(de)到(dao)(dao)家(jia)價(jia)格(ge)集(ji)中(zhong)在(zai)460元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)、濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）附近(jin)；山西地(di)區(qu)大(da)(da)(da)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)的(de)(de)到(dao)(dao)家(jia)價(jia)格(ge)多(duo)在(zai)370-380元(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)（散鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)、濕(shi)(shi)鹽(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)(yan)）。

后市分析：

百川預測：國內原鹽供應量(liang)較為平穩，需求方面因(yin)兩堿(jian)行(xing)業檢修集中期已過，兩堿(jian)行(xing)業用鹽量(liang)在小幅度回升，另有部分井礦(kuang)鹽裝置安(an)排檢修，下周原鹽價格多延續平穩走勢。